BCG COVID-19 Delta Insights Compendium

December 5, 2021

Delta has changed the COVID-19 outlook and calculus
We are all likely to become exposed to Delta or its successor. Delta is the most dangerous variant to date with:

  • 2-2.5x more transmissible than original strain
  • Infection hospitalization rate (IHR) comparable to original strain for <50 but at least 2x for >501
  • Infection fatality rate for unvaccinated 65+ group may be ~6% (or higher) based on UK data

It remains mild for children, despite risk we’ll overrun many pediatric ICUs. The vaccines are extremely effective at preventing hospitalization and fatalities. It can impact community spread, but likely not prevent almost everyone from getting it. Delta surges likely in regions below 95% protection (vaccinated/natural immunity).


Get us to the finish line of completing a 90-bed hospital for Government of Karnataka

Swasti is setting up a 90 bed modular hospital within the Rajiv Gandhi Institute of Chest Diseases, which will function as part of the existing Institute. This facility will be used for care provision for COVID in the coming year and in future will provide care for people who come to this facility; it is right next to 2 other Govt. hospitals (NIMHANS and Sanjay Gandhi Trauma Centre)

Click here to read more of this BCG study. 

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